Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 1.536567 1.778138 2.043917 2.357844 2.718348 3.119231 3.598708
2025-03-23 1.232644 1.556038 1.942260 2.436825 3.052691 3.793769 4.752764
2025-03-30 1.006136 1.371100 1.839488 2.483128 3.343120 4.451068 5.985531
2025-04-06 0.819152 1.196214 1.712547 2.468504 3.544228 5.016958 7.183309
2025-04-13 0.643502 1.001530 1.521899 2.329316 3.546229 5.306890 8.042150
2025-04-20 0.561795 0.926083 1.484712 2.397857 3.846680 6.048634 9.639572
2025-04-27 0.506952 0.880961 1.483369 2.516102 4.233176 6.962110 11.612469
2025-05-04 0.449723 0.821201 1.447704 2.570621 4.520859 7.751777 13.486630
2025-05-11 0.397445 0.760444 1.399732 2.594457 4.755880 8.478237 15.341204
2025-05-18 0.340078 0.680586 1.305718 2.521704 4.809122 8.896787 16.710634
2025-05-25 0.285773 0.597206 1.192271 2.395102 4.743863 9.091911 17.694784
2025-06-01 0.254435 0.553606 1.146892 2.389678 4.901879 9.706673 19.520256
2025-06-08 0.219777 0.498661 1.073448 2.322761 4.939977 10.116664 21.041159
2025-06-15 0.208238 0.491108 1.095184 2.453493 5.393834 11.391318 24.431851
2025-06-22 0.193231 0.473385 1.092886 2.533010 5.751995 12.517971 27.664211
2025-06-29 0.174213 0.443196 1.058876 2.537954 5.950151 13.337299 30.354122
2025-07-06 0.148405 0.392292 0.970419 2.406307 5.826373 13.454539 31.540403
2025-07-13 0.139068 0.380598 0.971547 2.484076 6.191861 14.686378 35.354369
2025-07-20 0.133304 0.377100 0.991843 2.610878 6.689591 16.274104 40.172110
2025-07-27 0.124370 0.363646 0.985391 2.670112 7.031005 17.539885 44.386002
2025-08-03 0.114733 0.346594 0.967177 2.696494 7.293741 18.649187 48.355540
2025-08-10 0.101757 0.317779 0.913638 2.621932 7.287621 19.103690 50.766261
2025-08-17 0.088166 0.284670 0.843286 2.490997 7.114253 19.118155 52.062341